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The Romney Flip Flop Fallacy: A Rebuttal From The Right

Philip M. Nelson
philip_nelson@byu.net

One of the most common complaints about Romney from conservatives is that he has changed his position on abortion; some wonder if they can trust him on this very important issue.  Here is the outstanding, persuasive response to this question by James Bopp Jr., a prominent pro-life lawyer: http://article.nationalreview.com/print/?q=OWYwMzg3MzZkNDBmYzJhMGY5OTY5MjI3YTYxYzFkNDE

 I have also considered this from a conservative, LDS perspective, and my response to the question follows:


1.  Consider the sources of this argument.
Those that have invested the most in the idea of the Romney "flip-flop" come from two groups: 1) Enemies of conservatives; and 2) Enemies of Mormons.  Anti-conservative and anti-Mormon forces have combined against Romney, even though many evangelical anti-Mormons might otherwise be considered part of the religious right.  These strange bedfellows are only united in their opposition to the two things I support most.  The fact that Romney stands at this same intersection means we should try to start by giving Romney the benefit of the doubt.  Any conservative pondering the issue should look at evidence and not allow the accusations to harden into conventional wisdom.  I don't trust the agenda of those driving the "flip-flop" story.  I have seen many writers use misleading, partial quotations to try to play gotcha against Romney; their agenda is not pure, and it is certainly not pro-life.


2.  Read Romney's own explanations.
Any conservative should be principled enough to allow Romney to defend himself on this issue and should be leery of all "news" coverage of the topic, given the sensationalist, leftist media bent.  Here is the text of an excellent speech he gave at the "National Right To Life Convention."  Romney was well received at this event, and to me he comes across as very sincere and believable. http://www.mittromney.com/News/Speeches/National_Right_To_Life_Convention_Forum


3.  Romney likely did not flip.

Romney's enemies insinuate with quotations taken out of context that Romney went from pro-abortion to anti-abortion.  However, I have never seen even a shred of evidence that Romney was pro-abortion, like a hard-core NOW or NARAL democrat.  The most egregious evidence suggests he promised not to change the status quo in Massachusetts, which allowed abortion quite liberally.  It appears that any change in Romney's position was from one of acquiescence to abortion, to one of actively fighting against it.  No one can argue that he has fought for abortion.  Every bit of hard evidence for Romney's supposedly "pro-abortion" position is a crumb, surrounded by hype and twisted headlines.  If anyone who reads this can show me otherwise, please do so.


4.  Romney certainly has not flopped.
A flip-flop implies three stages: A, flip to B, flop back to A.  There is no evidence of Romney going back-and-forth on this issue.  The change appears to be from "less strong" opposition to abortion, to "more strong" opposition to abortion.  That is not a "flip-flop."  He changed in the correct direction, and sometimes, converts are the most persuasive in winning other converts.  Some believe Romney was always strongly anti-abortion, and just temporarily fooled people into believing he was not, in order to run for office in Massachusetts.  But everything I have seen shows that as a Republican candidate there, he merely acquiesced—up front—to the will of the people in a super-liberal state and agreed to let the abortion laws stand pat.  If he was personally strongly anti-abortion the whole time, so much the better now that he is trying to represent the whole country—one that agrees with him on this issue.


5.  The abortion question is historically difficult to grapple with.
Even among conservatives, there is vehement disagreement about how strong our opposition to abortion should be.  As the liberal media so often points out, some crazy extremists even bomb abortion clinics.  Consider the outrageous "ministries" and "preachers" that profane and berate outside of LDS general conference every year.  I'm always astonished to see that they think the church is not pro-life enough!  They think that because we have a rape/health-of-the-mother exception on abortion, we are all deserving of damnation!  Why can't we harness their energy on this issue and work together toward what I see as a common goal?  Many conservatives have changed their thinking to some degree on this issue as it has boiled to the top of national debate through the years.  We're likely not going to get a foremost anti-abortion crusader elected—if there is even such a thing as a sufficiently pure-blooded person on this issue.  Ultimately, all of our thinking on this issue is nuanced.  We should allow Romney some leeway to not be exactly where we are on this issue, as long as he is definitely pro-life and anti-abortion.


6.  Romney's service in the LDS church provides a clue.
Though clearly not definitive (see Harry Reid), the fact that Romney is a member of the LDS church in good standing—and that he served in a high profile calling as a stake president—provides evidence that he has a good character, good judgment, and a sound moral foundation.  Those who point to an occasional liberal or fallen church leader are attempting to force the exception to swallow the rule.  There is no way Romney could have served honorably while encouraging abortions; that would be grounds for excommunication.  However, Stake Presidents deal with real-world situations—maybe even rape and incest situations—where the church does not condemn abortions.  As this you-tube video shows, some ignorant opponents have attacked Romney as being a bad church member, but I believe Romney understands the church position better than them—and probably better than me.  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-G9hydflwEQ


7.  Romney's actual record is anti-abortion.
If Romney did any "growing in office" on the abortion issue, it happened the very first time he was faced with an actual life-related decision as Governor as Massachusetts, and he came down on the correct side, in my view.  He drew harsh criticism from pro-abortion activists at the time.  He also drew criticism when he stood by his promise to maintain the status quo on abortion—in opposition to leftist efforts to further liberalize Massachusetts abortion laws (e.g., by attempting to codify the Roe v. Wade holding).  Thus, in some ways, Romney's pledge to keep the status quo ended up being an anti-abortion stance, though it is so often billed as being somehow pro-abortion.  From this first veto and throughout his public life, Romney's governing actions have been consistently pro-life.  This article by Rep. Peter Hoekstra details some of Romney's actual record: http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?print=yes&id=20672


8.  Romney's recognition of precedent demonstrates a conservative instinct.

Many have twisted Romney's previous position (acquiescing to Roe v. Wade being the law of the land) into a pro-abortion position.  But doesn't every state or federal judge who is bound to apply that precedent fall under the same indictment?  Conservatives always suffer from this one-way ratchet.  We believe in upholding precedent because we don't like judicial activism and we prefer the rule of law to constant revolution, predictability to leftward "progress," etc.  But if it is only the conservatives that resist the temptation of all judges to rule according to their policy preferences, the result is systematic leftward drift.  And this is exactly what we've seen!  (See The Tempting Of America: The Political Seduction of the Law, by Robert H. Bork).  Thus, although there may be some danger in any office-holder pledging to uphold and execute the law when there are such monstrous laws on the books (or at least such monstrous interpretive farces in the law books, if not actually in the statute books), it is not necessarily the conservative position to attack Romney for making such a pledge because respect for precedent is an inherently conservative impulse.  And Roe v. Wade is precedent until congress confirms more conservative Supreme Court appointments.


9.  Apply the proper standard to Romney, the political candidate.
We should evaluate all the candidates' positions on the issues, taking care to evaluate Romney as if he were not LDS, and keep a tally of issues we care about.  This may be a good check on any tendency to unfairly amplify a perceived weakness because pundits have harped on it.  It may be the pundits that have driven this, but I observe that Mormons hold Romney to a standard ten times higher than that to which we would hold any other politician.  It is not practical to hold a politician to the sort of standard we have for a general authority, and that seems to be what LDS people do.  Romney is a businessman, and a politician.  By definition, a politician reflects and represents his or her constituency.  Should we look for leadership and character?  Yes.  But we cannot expect perfection, even from a Mormon candidate.  After all, our "perfect" candidate may only be 99% perfect for the person in the next pew.


10.  Mormons should avoid creating our own Catch-22.
Romney categorically would NOT have been a viable national candidate if he had squeaky clean conservative Mormon credentials; you don't see any governors of Utah ever jumping into a presidential race, for example.  So in a sense, our own unfairly high standards may doom the prospects of any Mormon candidate.  Either a great man like Elder Dallin H. Oaks runs, but not even all Mormons vote for him because they think they're throwing away their vote on an unrealistic dream, or a businessman/politician like Romney runs, but because he has had to make trade-offs to become nationally viable, not all Mormons vote for him because, that time, they decide to be purists.  A catch-22 indeed, if we allow it to be.


11.  We should not allow ourselves to be played by our enemies.
There appears to be a sophisticated smear campaign against Romney, and I know a lot of Mormons who are taken in by it.  People have learned how to use the idealism of conservatives (and especially Mormons) against us.  I believe that rational, methodical analysis can prevent this emotion-based attack from working.


12.  Consider the alternatives to Romney.
The other options are definitely "alternatives" when it comes to social issues.  Guliani v. Hillary is a realistic possibility if conservatives decide to get picky with Romney on this one issue.  Obviously that match-up does not advance the pro-life cause.  Romney may not be perfect, but neither were the Georges Bush, Bob Dole, or even Ronald Reagan.  Romney seems the best choice in this race—by far! ■